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MODEL TRACK RECORD

Model accuracy on resolved prediction markets.

Snapshot from test date 07/01/26 — 100 forecasts scored against resolved outcomes only. Market names and forecast sides are redacted to protect subscriber positioning; model probabilities, market probabilities, and results are the actual test-run values.

FORECASTS
100
RESOLVED CORRECT
83
ACCURACY
83.0%
#MARKETSIDEMODELMARKETEDGERESULT
1████████████ #0420██65.5%58.3%+7.2%HIT
2████████████ #0421██69.0%63.6%+5.4%HIT
3████████████ #0422██70.1%59.6%+10.4%HIT
4████████████ #0423██76.2%69.3%+6.8%HIT
5████████████ #0424██82.2%75.5%+6.7%HIT
6████████████ #0425██48.3%45.4%+2.9%HIT
7████████████ #0426██47.4%37.8%+9.6%HIT
8████████████ #0427██71.5%69.3%+2.2%HIT
9████████████ #0428██46.7%41.3%+5.4%HIT
10████████████ #0429██56.0%45.1%+10.9%HIT
11████████████ #0430██79.0%69.8%+9.2%MISS
12████████████ #0431██78.2%73.8%+4.4%HIT
13████████████ #0432██79.1%72.0%+7.1%MISS
14████████████ #0433██50.6%40.2%+10.4%HIT
15████████████ #0434██69.0%65.2%+3.7%HIT
16████████████ #0435██45.3%39.9%+5.4%HIT
17████████████ #0436██87.8%78.9%+8.9%HIT
18████████████ #0437██51.5%48.1%+3.5%HIT
19████████████ #0438██77.1%72.4%+4.7%HIT
20████████████ #0439██53.4%42.6%+10.9%HIT
21████████████ #0440██86.1%78.0%+8.0%HIT
22████████████ #0441██46.4%43.0%+3.4%HIT
23████████████ #0442██83.5%75.3%+8.2%HIT
24████████████ #0443██73.3%67.6%+5.7%HIT
25████████████ #0444██77.7%68.9%+8.8%HIT
26████████████ #0445██49.5%46.2%+3.2%HIT
27████████████ #0446██45.4%34.8%+10.5%HIT
28████████████ #0447██46.9%38.7%+8.2%HIT
29████████████ #0448██52.1%44.1%+8.0%HIT
30████████████ #0449██69.6%64.0%+5.6%HIT
31████████████ #0450██52.1%43.7%+8.4%HIT
32████████████ #0451██54.5%43.9%+10.6%HIT
33████████████ #0452██86.6%76.3%+10.3%HIT
34████████████ #0453██64.3%58.1%+6.3%HIT
35████████████ #0454██83.7%74.0%+9.7%MISS
36████████████ #0455██66.0%62.8%+3.2%MISS
37████████████ #0456██78.7%73.3%+5.4%MISS
38████████████ #0457██49.9%41.0%+8.9%MISS
39████████████ #0458██52.4%43.8%+8.6%MISS
40████████████ #0459██72.5%67.8%+4.7%HIT
41████████████ #0460██90.0%85.6%+4.4%HIT
42████████████ #0461██49.8%41.6%+8.2%HIT
43████████████ #0462██70.7%64.3%+6.3%HIT
44████████████ #0463██46.3%35.7%+10.6%HIT
45████████████ #0464██64.8%56.6%+8.2%HIT
46████████████ #0465██53.3%45.9%+7.4%HIT
47████████████ #0466██86.3%75.5%+10.8%HIT
48████████████ #0467██79.5%76.3%+3.2%HIT
49████████████ #0468██74.4%65.9%+8.5%HIT
50████████████ #0469██76.9%70.3%+6.6%HIT
51████████████ #0470██84.6%78.1%+6.5%HIT
52████████████ #0471██89.7%85.5%+4.3%HIT
53████████████ #0472██62.5%58.4%+4.0%HIT
54████████████ #0473██89.0%79.0%+10.1%HIT
55████████████ #0474██66.2%57.9%+8.3%HIT
56████████████ #0475██86.1%77.4%+8.7%HIT
57████████████ #0476██81.9%71.3%+10.6%HIT
58████████████ #0477██88.5%83.6%+4.9%HIT
59████████████ #0478██65.0%60.3%+4.7%HIT
60████████████ #0479██60.4%54.5%+6.0%HIT
61████████████ #0480██75.5%71.8%+3.6%HIT
62████████████ #0481██64.3%61.5%+2.8%HIT
63████████████ #0482██51.1%47.7%+3.4%HIT
64████████████ #0483██89.7%86.2%+3.6%HIT
65████████████ #0484██61.8%54.0%+7.8%HIT
66████████████ #0485██63.8%55.9%+7.9%HIT
67████████████ #0486██86.1%77.8%+8.3%MISS
68████████████ #0487██81.3%70.5%+10.9%HIT
69████████████ #0488██57.4%51.9%+5.5%MISS
70████████████ #0489██48.9%46.7%+2.3%HIT
71████████████ #0490██48.0%42.8%+5.2%HIT
72████████████ #0491██60.8%54.4%+6.4%MISS
73████████████ #0492██75.1%72.3%+2.7%HIT
74████████████ #0493██48.6%39.9%+8.7%MISS
75████████████ #0494██81.3%73.0%+8.3%HIT
76████████████ #0495██64.9%57.8%+7.1%HIT
77████████████ #0496██46.2%36.2%+10.0%HIT
78████████████ #0497██83.9%77.8%+6.1%HIT
79████████████ #0498██83.3%79.4%+4.0%MISS
80████████████ #0499██75.7%66.5%+9.2%MISS
81████████████ #0500██51.3%48.5%+2.8%MISS
82████████████ #0501██73.4%69.7%+3.7%MISS
83████████████ #0502██62.3%52.0%+10.3%HIT
84████████████ #0503██69.9%64.1%+5.8%HIT
85████████████ #0504██84.7%79.6%+5.1%HIT
86████████████ #0505██72.7%68.5%+4.3%HIT
87████████████ #0506██51.9%45.0%+6.9%HIT
88████████████ #0507██76.0%71.1%+4.9%HIT
89████████████ #0508██52.8%50.6%+2.2%HIT
90████████████ #0509██65.4%60.0%+5.4%HIT
91████████████ #0510██72.4%64.0%+8.4%HIT
92████████████ #0511██47.0%42.6%+4.4%HIT
93████████████ #0512██75.4%66.3%+9.2%MISS
94████████████ #0513██45.9%42.2%+3.7%HIT
95████████████ #0514██52.4%42.2%+10.3%HIT
96████████████ #0515██49.7%39.4%+10.3%HIT
97████████████ #0516██87.9%84.2%+3.7%HIT
98████████████ #0517██60.3%55.0%+5.3%HIT
99████████████ #0518██72.7%68.3%+4.5%MISS
100████████████ #0519██73.5%65.8%+7.7%HIT

Accuracy = correct forecasts ÷ resolved forecasts on the test date. Past performance does not guarantee future results.